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Game Analysis:
The New England Patriots enter this matchup at 1–3, coming off a frustrating 23–17 loss to the Jets where their offense showed flashes but still struggled with consistency. Rookie QB Drake Maye has had growing pains, mixing promising throws with turnovers, and the run game hasn’t provided enough balance to keep defenses honest. Defensively, New England remains disciplined, but lapses in coverage have cost them in key moments.
The Buffalo Bills are 3–1 and riding momentum after a 31–20 win over the Dolphins. Josh Allen looks locked in, spreading the ball to Stefon Diggs and Dalton Kincaid while also extending plays with his legs. The Bills’ defense has been stout up front, generating pressure and limiting opposing ground games, which could spell trouble for New England’s struggling offensive line.
Vegas has Buffalo favored by about 9.5 points, with the total hovering near 45.
Injuries & Roster Notes
The Patriots are without WR DeMario Douglas (hamstring) and still banged up across the offensive line, which has been a problem all season.
The Bills lost LB Matt Milano earlier in the year, but otherwise their key stars are healthy.
Key Matchups to Watch
Josh Allen vs. Patriots’ secondary — New England will need to disguise coverages and force Allen into mistakes; easier said than done with Buffalo’s vertical threats.
Patriots’ offensive line vs. Bills’ pass rush — if Buffalo controls the trenches, Maye will face relentless pressure, likely leading to turnovers.
Tempo and turnovers — the Patriots must slow the game, run effectively, and avoid giveaways; the Bills will want to speed things up and turn New England one-dimensional.
Given Buffalo’s firepower and New England’s offensive inconsistency, the Bills are in position to dictate terms. The Patriots will need a near-perfect performance to keep this one competitive.
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