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Game Analysis:
The Las Vegas Raiders enter this matchup at 1–3, nursing a three-game losing streak after a narrow 25–24 loss to the Bears in Week 4 — a game in which their ground game surged (240 rushing yards) but turnovers cost them dearly (three interceptions from Geno Smith). Their offensive line has also drawn criticism, ranking near the bottom in run-block win rate and allowing frequent pressure in pass protection.
On the other side, the Indianapolis Colts are 3–1. They suffered a tough loss in Week 4 against the Rams but remain one of the more balanced teams in the AFC, capable of scoring when given opportunities and generally disciplined on defense.
Oddsmakers have made the Colts solid favorites, with most lines listing Las Vegas as about a 6.5-point underdog and the over/under near 44.5 points.
Injuries & Roster Notes
Raiders left tackle Kolton Miller is expected to miss multiple weeks with a high-ankle sprain, putting pressure on depth at the tackle spot.
For Las Vegas, the offensive line’s instability—especially inside—is a continuing concern, potentially limiting both the running and passing game effectiveness.
The Colts have their own injury wrinkles: WR Alec Pierce is sidelined with a concussion, and CB Kenny Moore II is dealing with a calf/Achilles issue.
Key Matchups to Watch
Raiders’ offensive line vs. Colts’ pass rush / defensive front — if Indianapolis can pressure Smith and disrupt the run, they force Las Vegas into mistakes and long down-and-distance situations.
Raiders’ ground game vs. Colts’ run defense — Las Vegas will likely lean heavily on rushing to control tempo and take pressure off Smith; finding success here would give them a fighting chance.
Turnover battle & quarterback decision-making — Geno Smith’s propensity for interceptions will be under scrutiny, especially since the Colts are solid at creating takeaways.
Matchups in the secondary — with Pierce out for Indiana and depth tested on both sides, whoever wins in pass coverage (especially on the outside) could tilt field position and scoring opportunities.
Given the Colts’ healthier roster, better protection of the football, and home-field advantage, they seem positioned to assert control. But if Las Vegas can run effectively and keep the game close, it may force Indianapolis into some uncomfortable throws. Expect a competitive tilt, but chances favor the Colts to pull away late.
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