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Game Analysis:
The Miami Hurricanes enter this game sitting at 4–0, riding a dominant defensive brand (allowing just ~11.5 points per game) and a consistent, efficient offense. They’ve already notched wins over Notre Dame, Florida, and other in-state foes, and they’re looking to assert control in the ACC early this season.
The Florida State Seminoles are 3–1, having lit up weaker competition earlier in the season (including a 66–10 blowout) but stumbled last week in a double-overtime loss at Virginia (46–38). They come into this rivalry matchup needing to show resilience, especially on defense.
Vegas has Miami favored by around 5.5 to 6.5 points, with the over/under in the mid-50s (≈ 54.5) in many books.
Injuries & Roster Notes
Florida State recently released its depth chart for this game; one notable change is Roydell Williams getting a co-starter nod at running back alongside Gavin Sawchuck.
Miami is healthier overall in public reports; their depth allows them to absorb minor losses better than many opponents. (No major injury headlines in recent previews)
The Hurricanes’ defense, especially their secondary and pass rush, will be tested — FSU has shown big plays through the air at times.
Key Matchup to Watch
This game may come down to whether Florida State’s offense can sustain drives versus Miami’s defense. The Seminoles are averaging big offensive numbers, particularly on the ground, and will need to avoid getting stalled by Miami’s front. Conversely, Miami must protect the line of scrimmage, disrupt FSU’s running lanes, and force the Seminoles into predictable passing downs. If Miami can do that, they can control tempo and limit big plays. On the flip side, FSU’s ability to pressure Miami’s QB and finish drives will be crucial to stay in the fight.
Because this is a heated in-state showdown with a long rivalry (Miami leads the series 36–33 entering this game) — home field, momentum, and turnovers could swing it. Expect Miami to lean on their defensive dominance and disciplined offense; FSU will try to lean into its playmaking capability and local fervor to cover the spread.
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