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Game Analysis:
The stage is set for a showdown between BYU Cougars and Texas Tech Red Raiders in the 2025 Big 12 Championship Game — both squads enter at 11-1 after stellar seasons, each hunting their first Big 12 title and a clear path into the College Football Playoff.
BYU comes in on the back of a strong finish, wrapping up regular-season play at 11-1 (8-1 in conference) with a dominant 41–21 win over UCF. Their offense — led by QB Bear Bachmeier and running back LJ Martin — has shown the ability to put up points both through the air and on the ground. Still, doubts linger: their lone loss was a 29–7 blowout by Texas Tech just a few weeks ago.
Texas Tech, meanwhile, has looked every bit like a top-5 team all season. Led by coach Joey McGuire, the Red Raiders post a balanced and explosive offense complemented by a stout, dominant defense. Their blowout 49–0 win over West Virginia in Week 14 only underscored how in-sync they are on both sides of the ball.
Betting markets reflect the gap: early lines opened with Texas Tech favored by roughly 13.5 points, total predicted scoring at 50.5 points, and a moneyline heavily tilting toward the Red Raiders. That suggests most observers expect Texas Tech to control things again.
If Texas Tech plays with the discipline and defensive dominance they’ve shown — especially keeping BYU’s run game in check — they should handle BYU and cover. But if BYU’s offense finds rhythm quickly, avoids turnovers, and leans on their balanced attack, they could make it a closer fight than many expect.
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